Asian stock market- Shares fall amid mix earnings, Fed tightening and China COVID-19 cases; oil up
时间:2024-06-26 21:02:25 阅读(143)
Stocks fell Wednesday as mixed corporate earnings, China’s Covid struggles and the prospect of aggressive Federal Reserve monetary tightening all pointed to a deteriorating economic outlook.
MSCI Inc.’s Asia-Pacific share gauge dropped to the lowest since mid-2020, sapped by Japan, while bourses in China and Hong Kong fluctuated. U.S. equity futures stabilized after the S&P 500 slid to a six-week low and the technology-heavy Nasdaq 100 plumbed levels last seen in 2021.
The euro touched the weakest level versus the greenback since 2017 amid worries that Moscow may choke gas flows to Europe, hurting the region’s growth in the ongoing fallout from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
Russia will cut off supplies to Poland and Bulgaria on Wednesday, making good on a threat to halt flows to countries that refuse to pay for the fuel in rubles. Oil climbed past $102 a barrel amid the escalating tension, with Europe looking at curbing Russian barrels.
The energy brinkmanship and disappointment over earnings from the likes of Alphabet Inc. and Texas Instruments Inc. sowed further doubts about the outlook for markets. The mood was already fragile due to Fed tightening to quell runaway inflation and slowing activity in China as Covid lockdowns bite.
“We know that sentiment is in a terrible state right now,” Lori Calvasina, head of U.S. equity strategy at RBC Capital Markets LLC, said on Bloomberg Television. “This is a market that’s very, very confused. There’s just a real lack of conviction in anything people want to buy at this moment in time.”
Gains in Microsoft Corp. in late trading on better-than-expected results alleviated some of the gloom.
In China, officials said they would step up infrastructure construction after a meeting Tuesday chaired by President Xi Jinping. The announcement is the latest pledge of economic support.
Elsewhere, Australia’s dollar rallied after core inflation breached the top of the central bank’s 2%-3% target for the first time since 2010. Swaps traders fully priced in a 15-basis-point hike for next month’s policy meeting.
ech earnings include Meta Platforms, Amazon, AppleEIA oil inventory report, WednesdayAustralia CPI, WednesdayBank of Japan monetary policy decision, ThursdayU.S. 1Q GDP, weekly jobless claims, ThursdayECB publishes its economic bulletin, ThursdaySome of the main moves in markets:
StocksS&P 500 futures rose 0.3% as of 10:50 a.m. in Tokyo. The S&P 500 fell 2.8%Nasdaq 100 futures were steady. The Nasdaq 100 fell 3.9%Japan’s Topix index dropped 1.2%South Korea’s Kospi index fell 1.3%Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 index shed 0.8%Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index was 0.4% lowerChina’s Shanghai Composite index rose 0.2%Euro Stoxx 50 futures declined 0.5%CurrenciesThe Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changedThe euro was at $1.0643The Japanese yen was at 127.55 per dollarThe offshore yuan was at 6.5800 per dollarBondsThe yield on 10-year Treasuries rose about one basis point to 2.73%Australia’s 10-year bond yield declined five basis points to 3.06%CommoditiesWest Texas Intermediate crude rose 1% to $102.72 a barrelGold was at $1,903.33 an ounce猜你喜欢
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- tions and academic institutions have computed logistics costs, which are widely quoted to stress the point that India is a country with high logistics costs.” In addition to the ones I mentioned earlier, NCAER cites three—Armstrong and Associates (2017), an estimate of 13% of GDP; CII (2015), an estimate of 10.9% of GVA; and NCAER (2019), an estimate of 8.9% of GVA. Clearly, there are variations in what is being measured and how. This new NCAER report uses supply and use tables. What does it find? In 2021-22, logistics costs had an estimated range of between 7.8% and 8.9%. In 2014-15, they had an estimated range of between 8.3% and 9.4%. There has been a decline over time (with a transient increase in 2017-18 and 2018-19). It cannot be anyone’s case that this new NCAER report is the last word on the subject. But it is a beginning, with a clear methodology. And two points emerge. First, logistics costs aren’t as bad as they are often made out to be. Second, they have declined over time (also evident from LPI).
Logistics, good or bad, are driven by the states and the commerce ministry has a LEADS (Logistics Ease Across Different States) report, based on perceptions. The 2023 version was released in December. Since states are heterogenous, in the reporting, they are divided into four groups—coastal, landlocked, north-east, and UTs. States that do well are called achievers. Nomenclature matters. Thus, states that are middling aren’t called average. They are called fast movers. States that are sub-par are called aspirers. Let me highlight coastal states, since 75% of export cargo is estimated to originate from them. Among coastal states, ones that do well are Andhra Pradesh, Gujarat, Karnataka, and Tamil Nadu. The ones that lag are Goa, Odisha, and West Bengal. While India’s logistics performance may have improved over time, that’s not true of every state. Some have slipped. Most states have a state-level logistics policy, including Goa and Odisha. West Bengal, bottom of the pecking order in the coastal category, doesn’t have one. To quote from LEADS 2023, “Looking ahead, the State (West Bengal) could benefit from formulating a State Logistics Master Plan and State Logistics Policy to drive efficiency improvements and facilitate investments within the logistics sector and undertake consultation with the logistics stakeholders for educating and informing them about the initiatives State is undertaking for the development and improvement of logistics sector.”
Logistics has been talked about for a long time and India has also focused on improving performance. We are now getting some precise data on measurement and quantification. That helps.
Bibek Debroy, chairman, EAC-PM. Views are personal.
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