Gold prices correcting as dollar firms; traders should buy around 55,500 zone but not over leverage
时间:2024-06-26 09:19:33 阅读(143)
By Bhavik Patel
After the best start of the year in a decade, gold has struggled to attract new investor attention this month. After a strong rally of almost $300 in 2 months, gold has shed nearly $130 from its highs. The reason behind this correction is the resumption of the USD rally. It started with robust jobs data that came higher than expected followed by rise in inflation. Retail sales also came higher than expected which all points to the fact that inflation will remain high as people are spending and the labor market is strong.
We still believe 2023 is stronger than 2022 as currently gold is facing hard impact due to the headline driven market but pretty soon technical indicators will come into play, and at that point, investors will believe that gold is becoming oversold and valuable at current pricing. In COMEX, support of $1850 is already breached so now next support comes around $1825 and $1780. We believe around this zone, technical indicators will come into play and gold will look attractive. Despite all data indicating the US will see soft landing, the bond market continues to see otherwise. The US bond yield curve remains inverted with the spread between two-year and 10-year bond yields at its widest point in four decades. Even though the Fed will not cut rates in 2023, USD will not be able to sustain at higher levels which will be beneficial for gold.
In MCX, 50% retracement comes around 55,500 if we take from the lows of 52,130 and recent high of 58,847. So gold is near to its 50% correction which is healthy looking at the strong run up. Gold is currently taking support around the 50-day moving average but there is no indication suggesting bottom has been placed. We believe the correction will continue albeit at a smaller pace and re-test the support around $1786 and 55,500-55,000 in MCX. Any investors looking to buy can accumulate around that zone but should not over leverage or commit a large portion of their holding as indicators have not established any bottom in charts.
(Bhavik Patel is a commodity and currency analyst at Tradebull Securities. Views expressed are the author’s own. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.)
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- AMC”.
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In its consultation paper, Sebi has suggested that trustees of mutual funds should focus on market abuse by AMC, its employees and mis-selling by the AMC to increase the asset base.
Also, trustees should be responsible for fairness of fees and expenses charged by the AMC, compare its performance with peers and ensure that AMC’s sponsor is not getting any undue advantage.
In addition to the core areas, the trustees should be responsible for periodically reviewing the steps taken by AMCs for the folios which do not contain all KYC attributes with bank details.
Further, Sebi has suggested that trustees and their resource persons should independently evaluate the extent of compliance by AMC and not merely rely on AMC’s assurances.
To facilitate trustees’ supervision, AMCs should provide them with analytical information.
Presently, the trustees primarily rely on the AMCs for ensuring compliance with the applicable rules.
Under the rules, trustees hold the property of the mutual fund in trust for the benefit of the unitholders. The trustees appoint an AMC to float schemes for the mutual fund and manage the funds mobilised under various schemes, in accordance with the investment objectives.
“In view of the increasing scale and reach of the mutual fund industry, trustees’ role in respect of unitholders’ protection assumes even greater significance,” Sebi said on Friday.
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Over the past decade there has been a five-fold increase in the size of the mutual fund industry. The assets under management (AUM) has surged from Rs 7.93 lakh crore in November 2012 to Rs 39.89 lakh crore in December 2022.
To ensure that trustees devote time and attention to their core responsibilities, Sebi has suggested that for fulfilling other responsibilities, trustees may rely on professional firms such as audit firms, legal firms, merchant bankers for carrying out due diligence on their behalf.
The Sebi also listed some duties trustees can delegate to AMCs. This include ensuring that all systems are in place prior to the launch of any scheme by the AMC, and calculating any income in the mutual fund due to the fund and any income received in the mutual fund for unitholders.
The regulator has proposed to provide a one year time to existing trustees with board of trustee structure to convert into a trustee company, from governance point of view.
Presently, two structures for trustees are permitted — corporate and board of trustees structure. Moreover, there are a few mutual funds which have the board of trustees structure while the trustees of all other mutual funds have adopted the structure of a trustee company.
Considering the enhanced role of trustees over the period of time, Sebi has suggested to increase the minimum number of trustees to adequately perform their functions. Presently, the minimum number of trustees prescribed is four.
Also, it has been proposed that the chairperson of the trustee company should be an independent director.
Sebi has suggested that apart from the meeting of the audit committee of AMCs and trustees (which mostly comprises of independent directors), the board of AMCs and the board of trustees may be mandated to meet at least once a year to discuss the issues concerning the mutual funds.
The regulator proposed that the existing MF Regulations on AMC and its obligations may be amended to include additional clauses with respect to the obligations of the board of AMC.
The proposed amendment may include a clause which casts an obligation on the board of AMC to ensure that all the activities of the asset management company are in accordance with the provisions of these regulations.
The Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) has sought comments from public till February 24 on these proposals.